QuantumFusion

Search the candidate-strategy space to find the optimal trade-off between risk and return.

Showing baseline result (run optimisation for a fresh solve)

Optimised return

£3,610,000per year

Best risk-adjusted scenario

5% efficiency win across the existing 50-round network

Total scenarios evaluated

108,161candidates

Risk vs. return Pareto front

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Optimised scenarios

Risk-Off — Defensive

Turnover impact: -£1,240,000
Bottom-line impact: £380,000
Vehicles delta: -6
Profitability turnpoint: month 6
No debt service

Close the worst-margin accounts identified by the InsightFusion pass, merge R007 and R009 around shared depot starts, and redeploy two top-rated drivers to coverage. Driver wages and vehicle finance dominate the savings line; revenue lost from closed accounts is fully absorbed within month 6.

Confidence: scenario_estimate

Status Quo — Steady

Turnover impact: £0
Bottom-line impact: £3,610,000
Vehicles delta: +0
Profitability turnpoint: month 9
No debt service

Tighten visit-window adherence, re-sequence afternoon legs on R001 and R003, telematics-driven driver coaching across all 50 rounds. No new headcount or capex. Fuel and driver-overtime savings carry 70% of the uplift; missed-visit revenue recovery the rest.

Confidence: scenario_estimate

Risk-On — Expansion

Turnover impact: £3,470,000
Bottom-line impact: £525,000
Vehicles delta: +6
Profitability turnpoint: month 16
Debt payback: 22 months

Stand up satellite depot-reach contracts in Stratford, Croydon, and Romford; hire 6 drivers; ramp customer acquisition from 15% → 65% penetration of addressable across months 1–18. Capex £1.1M financed at 9% APR over 12 months; first-year financing cost £99k. Steady-state bottom line lands in month 18.

Confidence: scenario_estimate

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